ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 152256 
SPC MCD 152256 
FLZ000-160000-

Mesoscale Discussion 0070
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0456 PM CST Mon Jan 15 2024

Areas affected...Eastern Florida Peninsula

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

Valid 152256Z - 160000Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...A localized threat for a brief tornado is expected to
continue in the short-term. Any threat should remain too marginal
for weather watch issuance.

DISCUSSION...Latest high-resolution radar imagery shows a supercell
ongoing in Martin County, Florida. WSR-88D VWPs along the Florida
east coast suggest veering winds with height in the lowest 2 km
above ground level, with some speed shear in the low to mid-levels.
Low-level shear may also be strengthened by frictional effects
associated with the coastal vicinity. In addition, the storm is
located near a boundary helping to increase low-level convergence.
The cell will continue to approach the coast over the next half
hour. Additional cells may develop, and could be associated with an
isolated/brief tornado threat due to the localized enhancement of
low-level shear. However, any threat is expected to remain marginal,
and not sufficient for tornado watch issuance.

..Broyles/Goss.. 01/15/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MLB...

LAT...LON   27078008 26998037 26988054 27058069 27188073 27318069
            27408059 27458036 27478017 27378005 27168003 27078008 

NNNN