ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 140113 
SPC MCD 140113 
KSZ000-140315-

Mesoscale Discussion 0223
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0813 PM CDT Wed Mar 13 2024

Areas affected...North-central Kansas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 36...

Valid 140113Z - 140315Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 36
continues.

SUMMARY...A severe threat will likely continue across parts of
north-central Kansas for several more hours. Large hail and wind
damage will be the primary threats.

DISCUSSION...The latest high-resolution radar imagery from Hastings,
Nebraska shows a strong to severe convective cluster over Trego and
Rooks Counties in north-central Kansas. These storms are located
along an east-to-west gradient of instability, where MLCAPE is
estimated by the RAP to be near 1000 J/kg. The storms are also
located along the northern edge of a plume of steep mid-level lapse
rates, where 700-500 mb lapse rates are estimated to be near 8 C/km.
This environment, along with moderate deep-layer shear will be
favorable for supercells with large hail. Hailstones of greater than
2 inches in diameter will be possible within the more intense cores.
The severe threat is expected to continue for several more hours, as
the convective cluster moves east-northeastward across north-central
Kansas. Additional severe storms with large hail may also develop
further to the east as low-level flow continues to increase this
evening.

..Broyles.. 03/14/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...

LAT...LON   38759931 38809987 39010015 39460014 39719970 39759900
            39779777 39539744 39199741 38869765 38779825 38759931 

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