ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 150256 
SPC MCD 150256 
ARZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-150500-

Mesoscale Discussion 0250
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0956 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024

Areas affected...Far Southeast Oklahoma...Far Northeast
Texas...Arkansas

Concerning...Tornado Watch 45...

Valid 150256Z - 150500Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 45 continues.

SUMMARY...A severe threat will continue over the next few hours from
far northeast Texas northeastward into central Arkansas.

DISCUSSION...The latest mosaic radar imagery shows a broken line of
strong to severe storms located across east-central Arkansas, with
scattered more discrete cells from western Arkansas southward into
the Ark-La-Tex. New convection appears likely to develop to the
south of the ongoing storms across south-central Arkansas late this
evening. In addition to moderate instability, 0-6 km shear in that
areas is estimated to be near 50 knots according to the RAP. This
will support continued severe storm development over the next couple
of hours. Large hail and isolated wind damage will be possible with
supercells. A locally greater wind-damage threat will possible ahead
of short bowing line segments. In addition, low-level shear has
increased across the region due to a strengthening jet near 850 mb.
For this reason, a brief tornado still may occur.

..Broyles.. 03/15/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...

LAT...LON   34109560 34629522 34949432 35139326 35289229 35319168
            35139144 34839146 34439168 33679206 33059291 33079454
            33169530 33389560 33889566 34109560 

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