ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 252017 
SPC MCD 252017 
LAZ000-252215-

Mesoscale Discussion 0302
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0317 PM CDT Mon Mar 25 2024

Areas affected...southwestern through northeastern Louisiana

Concerning...Tornado Watch 61...

Valid 252017Z - 252215Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 61 continues.

SUMMARY...More rapid intensification of stronger cells embedded
within the developing line of storms still appears possible through
4-6 PM CDT, including the evolution of one or two supercells
accompanied by increasing risk for tornadoes

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms have been slow to substantively intensify
to this point.  However, a gradual modification of the
boundary-layer is ongoing, particularly in a narrow corridor in
advance of the evolving line, southeast of Fort Polk through the
Alexandria and Monroe vicinities, where surface dew points are
likely to continue to increase through the mid/upper 60s F.  

Beneath 50-60 kt southerly flow in the 1-2 km AGL layer, low-level
hodographs have become large and clockwise curved.  Perhaps with at
least some further low-level warming, inflow of more unstable air
may become sufficient to support more rapid intensification of
stronger cells embedded within the line.  If this occurs, the
environment is conducive to the evolution of supercells posing a
risk for tornadoes, possibly including a strong tornado or two.

..Kerr.. 03/25/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LCH...SHV...

LAT...LON   30939304 32209230 32799193 32589143 31649180 30709256
            30539321 30939304 

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