ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 011913 
SPC MCD 011913 
TXZ000-012045-

Mesoscale Discussion 0321
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0213 PM CDT Mon Apr 01 2024

Areas affected...Parts of west and central Texas

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely 

Valid 011913Z - 012045Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...Monitoring the area for increasing severe-storm potential.
Large hail and severe gusts are the main concerns. A watch is likely
in the next 30 minutes or so.

DISCUSSION...Isolated storms are developing along the dryline this
afternoon, and this activity will generally spread
east-northeastward through the afternoon -- in conjunction with an
approaching lobe of midlevel ascent. While initial storms may be
high-based with a localized severe risk, the risk will gradually
increase over the next few hours as storms move into moderate/strong
surface-based buoyancy and rapidly increasing deep-layer shear.
Generally straight hodographs will favor large to very large hail
and severe winds with supercells and organized clusters. A watch is
likely in the next 30 minutes or so.

..Weinman/Thompson.. 04/01/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...LUB...MAF...

LAT...LON   31450151 32240142 32750107 33190040 33399988 33339928
            33279834 32929804 32379797 31769798 31209847 31039919
            30879994 30780094 31030144 31450151 

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