ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL ACUS11 KWNS 020810 SPC MCD 020810 KYZ000-OHZ000-INZ000-020945- Mesoscale Discussion 0339 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0310 AM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024 Areas affected...portions of southeast Indiana into far southwest Ohio and northern Kentucky Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 020810Z - 020945Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Isolated strong thunderstorms are possible through early morning. Strong gusts and marginally severe hail to 1 inch diameter may accompany this activity. DISCUSSION...Strong thunderstorms near and north of the effective warm front draped across south-central IN will continue to shift east the next few hours. This activity is likely elevated given strong low-level inhibition and storms tracking just to the cool side of the surface boundary. However, strong vertical shear will continue to allow for organized storm structures within a modestly unstable airmass. Locally strong/damaging gusts and sporadic hail from 0.5 to 1.0 inches in diameter are possible with this activity. A watch is not currently expected with this ongoing activity, but one may be needed later this morning as upstream activity over southern IL spreads into a destabilizing airmass. ..Leitman/Smith.. 04/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...ILN...LMK...IND... LAT...LON 38708441 38708537 38668650 38718697 38888701 39378678 39518617 39418493 39248441 39138428 38808421 38708441 NNNN