ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL ACUS11 KWNS 120051 SPC MCD 120051 VAZ000-NCZ000-SCZ000-120215- Mesoscale Discussion 0426 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0751 PM CDT Thu Apr 11 2024 Areas affected...Portions of western North Carolina and southern Virginia Concerning...Tornado Watch 106... Valid 120051Z - 120215Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 106 continues. SUMMARY...The risk for damaging gusts and a couple of tornadoes will continue this evening. Short bowing segments and a few supercells should continue into south-central VA and central NC tonight. Some guidance suggests the severe threat may persist beyond WW106 this evening. DISCUSSION...As of 0040 UTC, ongoing storms over portions of NC/VA have produced several reports of damage. Storm organization has trended towards more liner structures over the last couple of hours owing to numerous storm interactions. However, more clustered cellular elements have persisted to the south. The environment ahead of these storms across parts of south-central VA and west-central NC remains modestly unstable and strongly sheared with ESRH of 250-400 m2/s2. Rotating structures within the line and broader cluster will likely remain capable of damaging gusts and a couple of tornadoes into this evening. Recent HRRR guidance also suggests these storms may continue to pose a severe risk across parts of southern VA and central NC later this evening. While it is somewhat unclear how far north/east the risk may continue this evening with weakening buoyancy and nocturnal cooling, the general environment remains favorable. Mesoscale trends will be monitored for the need of a downstream watch should storms maintain intensity. ..Lyons/Thompson.. 04/12/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RAH...ILM...RNK...GSP... LAT...LON 35677867 34767954 34847983 35118001 35498028 35838043 36088053 36538059 37068051 37727950 37877904 37857862 37717830 37487815 37127810 36667814 36527822 36007850 35677867 NNNN