ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL ACUS11 KWNS 260219 SPC MCD 260219 TXZ000-OKZ000-NMZ000-260345- Mesoscale Discussion 0518 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0919 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024 Areas affected...portions of west and northwest Texas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 260219Z - 260345Z Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent SUMMARY...Severe threat is increasing through the evening/overnight. A watch will likely be needed soon. DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm development has been noted near the Permian Basin across southwestern Texas. Expectations are for further development to continue through the next few hours, with upscale growth into a potential MCS overnight. Given the potential for upscale growth, the main threats will likely be damaging winds and hail. A tornado or two will be possible, given favorable deep-layer shear. A watch will likely be needed within the hour. ..Thornton/Edwards.. 04/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF... LAT...LON 31630301 31690332 31940338 32190336 32780303 33700195 34260082 34480007 34429968 34149888 34009866 33909841 33029927 32249987 31870147 31610244 31630301 NNNN