ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL ACUS11 KWNS 302057 SPC MCD 302057 IAZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-302230- Mesoscale Discussion 0578 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0357 PM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024 Areas affected...Central and western Iowa and far eastern Nebraska Concerning...Tornado Watch 163... Valid 302057Z - 302230Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 163 continues. SUMMARY...Tornado and severe threat increasing through late afternoon/early evening. DISCUSSION...A few discrete supercells continue to mature across portions of far western/southwestern Iowa and far eastern Nebraska. These storms have developed near a deepening surface cyclone, attendant to an upper level shortwave trough, and ahead of a cold front within an increasingly unstable air mass. Backed surface flow remains in place within the warm sector across central and south central Iowa, and the warm front is slowly lifting northward. As a mid level jet max around 50-60 kt continues to overspread the region, low level shear profiles/hodographs will become even more favorable for tornadic supercells. This may especially be true along the aforementioned effective warm front where nearly parallel effective shear vectors with magnitudes of 55-60 kt will persist into early evening. ..Barnes/Lyons/Hart.. 04/30/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...FSD...OAX... LAT...LON 40649598 40699653 41099604 41749649 42339629 42309575 42259424 42259364 41959257 41269256 40759259 40519282 40529365 40539411 40589479 40599527 40619547 40649598 NNNN