ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 020324 
SPC MCD 020324 
OKZ000-TXZ000-020530-

Mesoscale Discussion 0599
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1024 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024

Areas affected...Northwest and Southwest TX into Southwest OK

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

Valid 020324Z - 020530Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

SUMMARY...Threat for damaging gust and isolated large hail may
continue eastward from southwest Oklahoma through northwest Texas
and into southwest Texas.

DISCUSSION...Regional radar imagery depicts a loosely organized,
eastward-progressing convective cluster moving into far southwest OK
and northwest TX, with its eastward propagation supported by outflow
from earlier storms over the southwest TX Panhandle. Additional
organization of this cluster may be underway, with some threat for
damaging gusts and isolated large hail likely to persist downstream
into more of southwest OK. 

Farther south into southwest TX, the combination of increasing
large-scale forcing for ascent with strengthening warm-air advection
has contributed to increased thunderstorm coverage and intensity.
This activity appears less organized than whats occurring farther
north, but some additional organization is still possible, with an
attendant threat for damaging gusts and isolated hail possible into
more of northwest TX.

..Mosier/Guyer.. 05/02/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...

LAT...LON   34510009 35479891 34789790 32909845 30659909 30539977
            31550031 32550046 34510009 

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