ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL ACUS11 KWNS 020558 SPC MCD 020558 TXZ000-020730- Mesoscale Discussion 0601 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1258 AM CDT Thu May 02 2024 Areas affected...portions of central into southeast Texas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 173... Valid 020558Z - 020730Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 173 continues. SUMMARY...Damaging-wind potential may persist beyond the 07z expiration time of Severe Thunderstorm Watch 173. A replacement watch may be needed. DISCUSSION...A small but strong bowing segment from Llano into Gillespie Counties in the central TX continues to be well-organized per regional radar. Meanwhile, further to the east, a cluster of strong to severe thunderstorms is ongoing north of Houston. Both of these areas of convection are persisting along a west-to-east oriented instability gradient, and within a 40-50 kt southerly low-level jet. This should aid in continued storm organization and at least some risk for damaging gusts the next few hours. With Severe Thunderstorm Watch 173 set to expire at 07z, a replacement watch may be needed if current trends persist over the next 30 minutes or so. ..Leitman.. 05/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LCH...HGX...FWD...EWX...SJT... LAT...LON 31149849 31309648 30899459 30519457 30099511 29819668 29889817 30039890 30379913 30839896 31149849 NNNN