ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 050240 
SPC MCD 050240 
TXZ000-050315-

Mesoscale Discussion 0637
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0940 PM CDT Sat May 04 2024

Areas affected...portions of the Edwards Plateau of Texas

Concerning...Tornado Watch 184...

Valid 050240Z - 050315Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 184 continues.

SUMMARY...Isolated severe risk continues across portions of the
Edwards Plateau vicinity.  Extension of WW 184 in time, beyond its
scheduled 05/03Z expiration, may be needed for a portion of the
area.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows convection generally decreasing
in intensity, though a lone storm moving eastward along the
Crockett/Val Verde County line remains supercellular, with radar
indications of a large -- though broad -- mesocyclone.  Very large
hail remains possible with this storm, along with locally damaging
winds, and the evident rotation suggests at least some continued
potential for a tornadic spin-up.  While this storm will eventually
move into Severe Thunderstorm Watch 185 if it maintains current
trajectory/intensity, a local extension of WW 184 may be needed to
cover short term severe risk.

..Goss.. 05/05/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...MAF...

LAT...LON   29960178 30600148 31350132 31550047 31289992 30679994
            29750056 29750084 29960178 

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