ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 100911 
SPC MCD 100911 
FLZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-101115-

Mesoscale Discussion 0745
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0411 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024

Areas affected...Far Southeast Alabama...Southern Georgia...Northern
Florida

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 226...229...

Valid 100911Z - 101115Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 226, 229
continues.

SUMMARY...A wind-damage, hail and isolated tornado threat will be
likely across parts of the eastern Gulf Coast region this morning.
As a severe MCS approaches the eastern edge of WW 229, new weather
watch issuance may become necessary.

DISCUSSION...The latest mosaic radar imagery shows a well-developed
severe MCS from the far western Florida Panhandle into far southeast
Alabama. This feature will continue to move east-southeastward along
a gradient of moderate instability across the Florida Panhandle and
southern Georgia. The latest WSR-88D VWP at Tallahassee, FL has 0-6
km shear of 55 to 60 knots suggesting that supercells and bowing
line segments will be likely within the stronger parts of the MCS.
The VWP also has 0-3 km storm-relative helicity near 150 m2/s2 which
should be sufficient for an isolated threat for a brief tornado. The
severe threat is expected to impact southeast Georgia and the
northern Florida Peninsula within a few hours, where weather watch
issuance may be needed.

..Broyles/Guyer.. 05/10/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TBW...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...

LAT...LON   30768144 31338183 31788294 32158390 32308469 32108515
            31778546 31378569 31018578 30708576 30368543 30008479
            29398325 29188232 29258176 29848139 30768144 

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