ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 131151 
SPC MCD 131151 
FLZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-131345-

Mesoscale Discussion 0762
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0651 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024

Areas affected...Far Southern Mississippi...Southern
Alabama...Western Florida Panhandle

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 234...

Valid 131151Z - 131345Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 234
continues.

SUMMARY...Wind damage, hail and an isolated tornado threat will be
possible this morning from far southern Mississippi into southern
Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle.

DISCUSSION...The latest hi-resolution radar imagery from Mobile, AL
shows a cluster of thunderstorms over southern Mississippi and
southern Alabama, with a couple embedded strong storms. This
convection is located along a northwest-to-southeast gradient of
instability, and appears to be elevated in nature. However, forecast
soundings across the western Florida Panhandle have MUCAPE around
1000 J/kg, with effective shear near 60 knots and 0-3 storm-relative
helicity just above 200 m2/s2. This should support a wind-damage
threat, and perhaps a potential for a brief tornado, if the cells
can become more surface-based. The threat would be the greatest with
cells that can move more southeastward into the stronger instability
near the coast.

..Broyles.. 05/13/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...LIX...

LAT...LON   31368546 31668686 31748799 31608847 31418869 31028897
            30758897 30558873 30378829 30178748 30048668 29868582
            29918539 30178513 30658501 31148518 31368546 

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