ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 310521 
SPC MCD 310521 
TXZ000-310615-

Mesoscale Discussion 1089
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1221 AM CDT Fri May 31 2024

Areas affected...Big Country to central TX

Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely 

Valid 310521Z - 310615Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

SUMMARY...A severe thunderstorm watch will likely be needed as an
MCS over the Big Country and Concho Valley continues for the next
several hours into central Texas.

DISCUSSION...An intensifying MCS over the TX Big Country has already
produced hail reported up to 2.5 inches and a measured wind gust of
55 mph at the Fort Chadbourne West Texas Mesonet site. This MCS will
likely propagate along the outflow from a leading MCS over central
TX. A pronounced MLCAPE gradient with large buoyancy centered over
parts of the Edwards Plateau into south-central TX will aid in
maintaining potential for embedded hail with an increasing risk for
severe wind gusts through the pre-dawn hours.

..Grams/Thompson.. 05/31/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...EWX...SJT...

LAT...LON   32329945 32189912 31849839 31589783 31399768 31239703
            30849672 30419697 30279722 30169754 30499833 30669913
            31370040 31630044 31849990 32329945 

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