ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 012329 
SPC MCD 012329 
TXZ000-020130-

Mesoscale Discussion 1117
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0629 PM CDT Sat Jun 01 2024

Areas affected...West Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 368...

Valid 012329Z - 020130Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 368
continues.

SUMMARY...Severe threat is expected to continue across parts of far
west Texas over the next several hours. Large hail and severe wind
gusts will be the primary threats.

DISCUSSION...The latest hi-resolution radar imagery from Midland
shows a cluster of strong to severe thunderstorms over far west
Texas, with several embedded supercells. This cluster is located
along the western edge of a strongly unstable airmass, where the RAP
has MLCAPE estimated in the 3000 to 4000 J/kg range. Within this
airmass, the latest WSR-88D VWP at Midland has 0-6 km shear near 45
knots. In addition, forecasts soundings across far west Texas early
this evening have some directional shear in the low-levels with
700-500 mb lapse rates near 8 C/km. This environment will favor
supercells with large hail. The strongest of cells could produced
hailstones of greater than 2 inches in diameter. The storms will
gradually move eastward across far west Texas, and a severe threat
will likely continue into the mid to late evening.

..Broyles.. 06/01/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...MAF...

LAT...LON   32000272 31950381 31750431 31410451 31060449 30470390
            29590379 29140341 29200257 29580175 30150152 31190174
            31680207 32000272 

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