ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 050755 
SPC MCD 050755 
LAZ000-ARZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-050930-

Mesoscale Discussion 1172
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0255 AM CDT Wed Jun 05 2024

Areas affected...parts of east TX

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

Valid 050755Z - 050930Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated, marginally severe wind gusts embedded within a
broader swath of primarily strong gusts may persist through dawn as
an MCS moves southeastward across parts of east Texas.

DISCUSSION...An increasingly ragged QLCS has been progressing
steadily southeast across the Red River and northeast TX. Sub-severe
but strong gusts have been common along the outflow. A couple
marginally severe gusts of 57 and 60 mph have been measured during
the past hour or so with multiple deeper convective cores on the
western arc of the MCS across far south-central OK into
north-central TX. This process of regenerative convection on the
backside of the MCS/post-outflow may persist owing to the plumes of
large buoyancy over central TX and steep mid-level lapse rates to
the west-northwest. These cells may continue to produce strong to
localized severe gusts in a sporadic fashion, before weakening as
they shift deeper into the remnant stratiform from the leading line.

..Grams/Thompson.. 06/05/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...HGX...FWD...OUN...

LAT...LON   34179708 33939680 33259600 33179557 33309493 33489447
            33229404 32699401 32339400 31689452 31359553 31449603
            31629683 32859750 33259755 33899765 34089767 34179708 

NNNN