ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 072254 
SPC MCD 072254 
OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-080030-

Mesoscale Discussion 1193
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0554 PM CDT Fri Jun 07 2024

Areas affected...Southeast CO and extreme northeast NM into the
OK/northern TX Panhandles and southwest KS

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 396...

Valid 072254Z - 080030Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 396
continues.

SUMMARY...The threat for isolated damaging wind and hail will spread
eastward into this evening.

DISCUSSION...Multiple loosely organized storm clusters are ongoing
late this afternoon across parts of southeast CO, extreme northeast
NM, and southwest KS. Convection is ongoing within a favorably
sheared and rather hot and well-mixed environment, which will favor
the potential for at least isolated severe gusts (as evidenced by a
recent 55 kt gust in Clayton, NM) as storms spread eastward into the
evening. The environment into southwest KS is somewhat more moist
and unstable, and some isolated hail will be possible with the
strongest storms in this region. 

CINH increases with eastward extent into eastern portions of the
TX/OK Panhandles and southwest KS, so some uncertainty remains
regarding how far east the severe threat will spread into the early
evening. However, a short-term threat for isolated severe wind/hail
remains evident across extreme southwest KS into the western/central
TX/OK Panhandles and northeast NM.

..Dean.. 06/07/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...AMA...PUB...ABQ...

LAT...LON   35820213 35490351 35340447 35800456 37390216 37779996
            37059980 36330042 35820213 

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