ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 140544 
SPC MCD 140544 
MOZ000-140715-

Mesoscale Discussion 1257
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1244 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

Areas affected...portions of western/central MO

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 412...

Valid 140544Z - 140715Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 412
continues.

SUMMARY...Sporadic strong to marginally severe storms may produce
gusts of 45-60 mph and hail 0.75-1 inch diameter the next couple of
hours. A new watch is not expected.

DISCUSSION...A cluster of storms over central MO will continue to
gradually develop south. Vertical shear remains rather weak with
southward extent. Modest instability and steep midlevel lapse rates,
in conjunction with a weak cold pool, may support sporadic strong
storms another 1-2 hours before weakening occurs. 

Another cluster of storms further north are occurring atop the cold
pool from prior convection, but in a more favorably sheared
environment. The storms will pose mainly a marginally severe hail
risk for another 1-2 hours. 

Given the marginal/sporadic nature of the threat, a new severe
thunderstorm watch is not expected.

..Leitman.. 06/14/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...

LAT...LON   39729381 39599332 38969261 38499213 38069200 37699209
            37599242 37609308 37709361 37989399 38199412 39289459
            39599459 39729439 39729381 

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