ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 152201 
SPC MCD 152201 
OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-NMZ000-160000-

Mesoscale Discussion 1274
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0501 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024

Areas affected...Parts of the central/southern High Plains

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

Valid 152201Z - 160000Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Storms capable of isolated severe gusts and hail will be
possible into the early evening.

DISCUSSION...High-based thunderstorms have recently developed across
southwest KS, with increasing cumulus noted farther south into the
TX/OK Panhandles and TX South Plains vicinity. With a
mid/upper-level shortwave trough currently over central KS moving
away from the region with time, storm coverage may remain somewhat
isolated into the early evening. However, MLCAPE of greater than
1500 J/kg and modestly favorable deep-layer shear will support a few
marginally organized storms. Isolated severe gusts will be possible
within the relatively warm and well-mixed environment across the
region, with the strongest storms also potentially capable of
producing some hail.

..Dean/Smith.. 06/15/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...GLD...LUB...AMA...ABQ...

LAT...LON   35060077 34440135 34480295 34650345 35110352 35400310
            37680113 39290028 39239974 36539956 35060077 

NNNN