ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 172350 
SPC MCD 172350 
PAZ000-180045-

Mesoscale Discussion 1310
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0650 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024

Areas affected...central Pennsylvania

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

Valid 172350Z - 180045Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms with the potential for strong to severe wind
will persist across central Pennsylvania.

DISCUSSION...A line of thunderstorms has developed along a remnant
outflow boundary across central PA. Ahead of this line of storms,
temperatures are in the mid 80s to 90s with mid to upper 60s
dewpoints. The downstream air mass is further characterized by
MLCAPE around 500-1000 J/kg and steep low-level lapse rates. Weaker
mid-level lapse rates are noted along with generally weak flow
aloft. Nonetheless, this environment will support instances of
strong to severe wind over the next couple of hours, should this
line maintain intensity and progress eastward.

..Thornton/Edwards.. 06/17/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CTP...

LAT...LON   40317865 41137820 41337785 41417750 41197696 40897668
            40717665 40377671 40147684 39947701 39877719 39927757
            40057828 40317865 

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