ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 110111 
SPC MCD 110111 
MOZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-110245-

Mesoscale Discussion 1577
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0811 PM CDT Wed Jul 10 2024

Areas affected...Northwest NO...northeast KS...extreme southeast NE

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 519...

Valid 110111Z - 110245Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 519
continues.

SUMMARY...Some threat for isolated hail and damaging wind may
persist through the evening.

DISCUSSION...While much of the deep convection across the region has
tended to weaken this evening, a vigorous cell is currently ongoing
near St. Joseph, MO, with other stronger storms noted across extreme
southeast NE. There is some potential for the stronger storms from
extreme northeast KS into northwest MO to continue southeastward for
another 1-2 hours as they track along or just to the cool side of an
outflow boundary that is sagging southwestward across the region.
Moderate buoyancy and effective shear around 30 kt could continue to
support occasionally organized storms, with an isolated hail and
damaging-wind threat. Storms should generally weaken by late evening
due to increasing MLCINH, and additional watch issuance is not
anticipated. However, some severe threat could spread south of WW
319 before a more definitive weakening trend occurs.

..Dean.. 07/11/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...

LAT...LON   40639634 40419529 39999472 39129434 38899492 38949552
            39299609 39799629 40639634 

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