ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 231831 
SPC MCD 231831 
NCZ000-VAZ000-232030-

Mesoscale Discussion 1697
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0131 PM CDT Tue Jul 23 2024

Areas affected...Far eastern North Carolina and far southeastern
Virginia

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

Valid 231831Z - 232030Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Localized damaging wind gusts may accompany a thunderstorm
cluster or two near the coastal region of NC and VA over the next
couple of hours.

DISCUSSION...The latest visible satellite and radar imagery
indicates a small area of thunderstorms developing along a sea
breeze. Surface observations near this area continue to suggest a
very moist, moderately unstable, uninhibited boundary layer in
place. Although modest deep layer shear will likely limit overall
thunderstorm organization, a few multicellular clusters will be
possible near the aforementioned instability axis extending
southwest to northeast immediately inland. Given the considerable
deep layer of moisture present within mostly unidirectional
southwesterlies, precipitation loading and deepening cold pools
could support localized damaging wind gusts over the next 1-2 hours.
A WW is not anticipated.

..Barnes/Smith.. 07/23/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...

LAT...LON   36117565 35427657 35107730 34897791 34917812 35277822
            35687806 36117771 36427729 37237701 37537674 37597627
            37217596 36117565 

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