ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 010142 
SPC MCD 010142 
IAZ000-MOZ000-010315-

Mesoscale Discussion 1778
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0842 PM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024

Areas affected...Portions of southern and central Iowa into far
north-central Missouri

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 584...

Valid 010142Z - 010315Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 584
continues.

SUMMARY...The severe-wind risk continues with an eastward-moving MCS
across portions of central and southern Iowa into far north-central
Missouri.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar data from KDMX shows a bowing MCS tracking
eastward at 35 kt across parts of central/southern IA and
north-central MO as of 0140Z. This MCS has been producing 60-70 mph
wind gusts. Very moist east-southeasterly inflow (middle/upper 70s
dewpoints) and around 35 kt of gust-front-orthogonal effective shear
should support the maintenance of this MCS as it continues eastward
across Severe Thunderstorm Watch 584. The primary concern is severe
gusts upwards of 65-75 mph.

Downstream of the watch, inhibition gradually increases with
eastward extent per earlier visible satellite imagery, surface
observations, and the DVN 00Z observed sounding. This may yield an
eventual decrease in intensity/organization, though convective
trends will be monitored.

..Weinman.. 08/01/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...DVN...DMX...EAX...

LAT...LON   41879405 42079431 42179425 42289368 42259273 42099219
            41789196 41419191 40979199 40449249 40119337 40099414
            40199425 40649381 40959364 41489372 41879405 

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