ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 131751 
SPC MCD 131751 
GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-131945-

Mesoscale Discussion 2066
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1251 PM CDT Fri Sep 13 2024

Areas affected...Parts of the FL Panhandle into southeast
AL/southwest GA

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

Valid 131751Z - 131945Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Locally damaging wind and perhaps a tornado are possible
this afternoon.

DISCUSSION...A small thunderstorm cluster has recently become better
organized across the FL Panhandle. The KEVX VWP depicts backed (but
also relatively weak) low-level flow with modest southwesterly flow
aloft, supporting effective shear of 30-35 kt. Modest heating is
ongoing downstream of this cluster, with MLCAPE increasing into the
1000-1500 J/kg range. This may help to sustain the ongoing cluster,
along with some potential for additional development into southwest
GA with time. Locally damaging gusts will be possible, along with
some potential for a tornado where surface flow remains backed
through the afternoon.

..Dean/Gleason.. 09/13/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...

LAT...LON   31138617 31558524 32018376 31368328 30968342 30228388
            29998463 30118551 30318602 30528600 31138617 

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