Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 160047
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0747 PM CDT Tue Apr 15 2025
Valid 160100Z - 161200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms will be possible this evening in parts of the
Sierra Mountains and in parts of the Desert Southwest. No severe
threat is expected through tonight across the U.S.
...DISCUSSION...
A mid-level trough will move across the Northeast tonight, as an
upper-level low approaches the coast of California. Ahead of the
low, thunderstorm development will be possible this evening across
parts of the Sierra Mountains, and from parts of southeast Arizona
into western New Mexico. Over the continental U.S., no severe threat
is expected through early morning on Wednesday.
..Broyles.. 04/16/2025
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
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