Mesoscale Discussion 0070
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0456 PM CST Mon Jan 15 2024

   Areas affected...Eastern Florida Peninsula

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 152256Z - 160000Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...A localized threat for a brief tornado is expected to
   continue in the short-term. Any threat should remain too marginal
   for weather watch issuance.

   DISCUSSION...Latest high-resolution radar imagery shows a supercell
   ongoing in Martin County, Florida. WSR-88D VWPs along the Florida
   east coast suggest veering winds with height in the lowest 2 km
   above ground level, with some speed shear in the low to mid-levels.
   Low-level shear may also be strengthened by frictional effects
   associated with the coastal vicinity. In addition, the storm is
   located near a boundary helping to increase low-level convergence.
   The cell will continue to approach the coast over the next half
   hour. Additional cells may develop, and could be associated with an
   isolated/brief tornado threat due to the localized enhancement of
   low-level shear. However, any threat is expected to remain marginal,
   and not sufficient for tornado watch issuance.

   ..Broyles/Goss.. 01/15/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MLB...

   LAT...LON   27078008 26998037 26988054 27058069 27188073 27318069
               27408059 27458036 27478017 27378005 27168003 27078008