Mesoscale Discussion 0248
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0831 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024

   Areas affected...Central Arkansas

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 45...

   Valid 150131Z - 150230Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 45 continues.

   SUMMARY...A strong tornado will be possible in the vicinity of
   western Little Rock over the next hour.

   DISCUSSION...Low-level flow as increased over the last hour across
   central Arkansas. 0-1 km storm-relative helicity on the WSR-88D VWP
   at Little Rock has increased from near 150 m2/s2 to about 225 m2/s2.
   This increase in low-level shear will continue to support a tornado
   threat. The storm to the west of Little Rock in the area around Hot
   Springs has had a history of tornadoes. As this storm moves
   east-northeastward, the storm-scale environment could support the
   development of a strong tornado in the vicinity of western Little
   Rock over the next 60 minutes.

   ..Broyles.. 03/15/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LZK...

   LAT...LON   34799183 34639228 34489325 34839342 35139256 35199193
               35009172 34799183