Mesoscale Discussion 0324
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0301 PM CDT Mon Apr 01 2024

   Areas affected...Far eastern Kansas into western Missouri

   Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely 

   Valid 012001Z - 012130Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

   SUMMARY...Storms capable of all severe hazards will move into far
   eastern Kansas and western Missouri later this afternoon. A tornado
   watch is likely within the next hour.

   DISCUSSION...Storms have initiated in far northeast Kansas and have
   moved into northwest Missouri. Additional storms are likely to move
   into western Missouri from north-central Oklahoma/southeast Kansas
   over the next few hours. While timing of storm arrival in
   southwestern Missouri is not certain, weak convection with lightning
   has developed in northeastern Oklahoma and is moving northeast. That
   all said, the severe risk for far eastern Kansas and western
   Missouri will be increasing late this afternoon into the evening.
   Large/very-large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes will all be
   possible. Low-level shear, particularly for southwest Missouri, will
   initially be weak. However, the low-level jet will increase by early
   evening. A tornado watch is likely within the next hour.

   ..Wendt/Thompson.. 04/01/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...TSA...

   LAT...LON   38629237 37019223 36709253 36569430 36609458 36689478
               37149493 37319494 39479507 39849496 40189436 40329288
               39629249 38629237