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Mesoscale Discussion 1091 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1091
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0320 AM CDT Fri May 31 2024
Areas affected...Central to southeast TX
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 358...
Valid 310820Z - 310945Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 358
continues.
SUMMARY...A severe wind threat will persist through daybreak with a
bowing QLCS and expand into parts of east-central to southeast
Texas. An additional severe thunderstorm watch is expected to parts
of the Southeast Texas Coastal Plain. Wind gusts of 50-65 mph will
remain likely with localized enhancements of 65-80 mph possible.
DISCUSSION...A bowing QLCS has accelerated in forward motion across
central TX to around 45-50 kts, with measured wind gusts to 62 mph
reported thus far. This eastward surge along the northeast portion
of the QLCS will likely persist into east-central TX before it
impinges on remnant stratiform rain and greater low-level stability
over northeast TX.
A secondary bowing surge may eventually emanate out of the trailing
southwest portion of the QLCS. Persistent deep convection here is
about to impinge on the warmer/more moist boundary-layer west of
Austin. This may similarly begin to intensify and surge
southeastward through the greater Austin area and eventually towards
the Houston Metro area. With favorable low-level inflow and
pronounced enhancement to rearward flow based on time-series of DYX
VWP data, it is appears likely that an organized QLCS will continue
towards the southeast TX Coastal Plain through daybreak.
..Grams/Thompson.. 05/31/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...SHV...HGX...FWD...EWX...SJT...
LAT...LON 32199761 32139718 32049667 31899597 31599518 30999481
30529474 30209479 29609506 29349671 29949799 30239870
30679920 30969887 31209796 31469773 32199761
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