Mesoscale Discussion 1332
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1143 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024

   Areas affected...parts of the TX Gulf Coast

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

   Valid 191643Z - 191915Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

   SUMMARY...Sporadic waterspouts may move onshore as a brief tornado
   before likely weakening inland. Overall threat may remain relatively
   lower-end in the near-term, but will continue to be monitored for a
   narrow tornado watch.

   DISCUSSION...Several offshore circulations have been noted late this
   morning but with a consistent weakening trend as convection has
   approached the coast. As of 1635Z, near-term waterspout threat
   appears roughly centered from the Galveston to Corpus Christi
   vicinity, where 0-1 km shear of 25-35 kts persists in HGX/CRP VWP
   data. Visible satellite and radar trends suggest a 30-90 min
   relative lull in convection may occur along the coast between the
   ongoing band of cells and another band of cells 60-80 nm offshore.
   This break may become necessary for some increase in surface-based
   destabilization along the coast as modified 12Z CRP/BRO soundings
   suggest it remains limited. If this occurs, an increase in brief
   tornado potential may be realized this afternoon.

   ..Grams/Smith.. 06/19/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...HGX...CRP...BRO...

   LAT...LON   29209503 28699529 28229636 27279717 26679729 26749770
               27959729 28869618 29209503