Mesoscale Discussion 1554
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1027 PM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024

   Areas affected...Upper Texas Coast

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

   Valid 080327Z - 080600Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

   SUMMARY...Tornado threat is expected to increase across the upper
   Texas Coast later tonight as Tropical Storm Beryl advances north.

   DISCUSSION...Tropical Storm Beryl is advancing steadily north toward
   the upper TX Coast late this evening. Over the last few hours,
   organized outer convective bands have begun to spread inland, and
   there have been a few stronger supercells that have moved onshore
   over Brazoria into southeast Matagorda County. VWP data from HGX
   exhibits gradually increasing low-level shear with 0-3km SRH now on
   the order of 250 m2/s2. Low-level shear should increase markedly
   over the next several hours, and there is some concern that embedded
   supercells will become more common with these bands.

   ..Darrow/Hart.. 07/08/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LCH...HGX...CRP...

   LAT...LON   28939662 29879568 30299430 29789360 29119484 28409623
               28939662