Mesoscale Discussion 2204
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0107 PM CST Mon Nov 04 2024

   Areas affected...Northern Texas

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 704...

   Valid 041907Z - 042030Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 704 continues.

   SUMMARY...A corridor of higher tornado potential may be developing
   across northern Texas, including the Dallas/Fort-Worth metro area,
   based on storm and environmental trends.

   DISCUSSION...Large-scale ascent associated with the primary upper
   low across eastern NM/western TX is beginning to overspread central
   TX as evident by an increase in cellular convection across the warm
   sector over the past 1-2 hours. More recently, a few cells have show
   signs of robust intensification within a corridor of higher MLCAPE
   where temperatures have climbed into the low 80s with low 70s
   dewpoints. The FWD VWP is sampling 0-1 km SRH values around 150
   m2/s2, which, in conjunction with MLCAPE values upwards of 2000
   J/kg, is supporting STP values between 1-2 across the region. A
   couple of robust supercells will likely emerge over the next 1-2
   hours with an increasing large hail and tornado threat (including
   the potential for a strong tornado) prior to the passage of a
   outflow-dominant squall line from the west.

   ..Moore.. 11/04/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...OUN...

   LAT...LON   32119794 33159736 33679698 33799653 33859613 33799571
               33659552 33359546 32899563 32479598 32199623 31949648
               31809675 31709709 31679738 31629761 31709788 31919808
               32119794