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Mesoscale Discussion 439
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0439
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0648 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025

   Areas affected...Eastern Carolinas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 134...

   Valid 072348Z - 080115Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 134
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Strong, to locally severe, thunderstorms will spread
   across the eastern Carolinas this evening.

   DISCUSSION...Pre-frontal confluence zone extends across the Coastal
   Carolinas early this evening. Over the last half hour or so, some
   increase in intensity has been noted with convection from near
   FLO-MEB. This activity has gradually evolved into a line segment,
   and damaging winds may become a threat if a bowing-type structure
   ultimately evolves. Damaging winds are the greatest risk with
   organized convection this evening.

   ..Darrow.. 04/07/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...

   LAT...LON   33448059 36707725 36707508 33457851 33448059 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH

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