Mesoscale Discussion 0252
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1130 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024

   Areas affected...Far Northeast Texas...Far Southeast
   Oklahoma...Southern Arkansas

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 45...46...

   Valid 150430Z - 150500Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 45, 46 continues.

   SUMMARY...The severe threat across southern Arkansas and the
   Ark-La-Tex is expected to continue to decrease over the next hour,
   and the ongoing watches will be allowed to expire at 05Z.

   DISCUSSION...An MCS is currently located from far northeast Texas
   extending east-northeastward across western and central Arkansas.
   The RAP suggests that instability has markedly decreased along the
   southern edge of the MCS over the last hour. This trend will
   continue, and the severe threat is expected to gradually diminish.
   For this reason, the ongoing watches will be allowed to expire at
   05Z. It still remains possible that the severe threat could
   re-develop across parts of the region, but this would be later
   tonight.

   ..Broyles.. 03/15/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...

   LAT...LON   33949121 33479247 33269385 33039497 32959559 33119590
               33359602 33579595 33849573 34249477 34609278 34849150
               34559110 33949121