Mesoscale Discussion 0352
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0249 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024

   Areas affected...Portions of Middle/Eastern Tennessee into eastern
   Kentucky

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 75...77...

   Valid 021949Z - 022145Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 75, 77 continues.

   SUMMARY...Tornado potential will continue into the evening as
   additional storms do appear probable. Wind profiles will remain
   favorable, but thermodynamic profiles are less supportive. A new
   tornado watch will be needed.

   DISCUSSION...Storms have struggled to mature and organize across
   much of Tennessee into eastern Kentucky. The 18Z observed sounding
   from Nashville showed very favorable wind profile for rotating
   storms, though the thermodynamic profile indicated weak lapse rates
   due to the influence of earlier convection/precipitation. Lack of
   cloud cover near the surface boundary within the Mississippi Valley
   has allowed some destabilization to occur and cumulus continue to
   deepen in this area. Mid-level height falls will continue to
   increase into the evening and the wind profile should still favor
   tornado potential with any organized storms. That being said,
   additional storms appear probable later this afternoon into the
   evening either with the boundary or moving northeast out of
   Mississippi. The main question will be how intense this activity
   will be given the thermodynamic constraints. With WW 75 set to
   expire at 3 PM CDT, a new watch will be needed to account for some
   continued tornado potential into the evening.

   ..Wendt.. 04/02/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...LMK...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...

   LAT...LON   35068608 34378780 34008884 33848921 33948966 34508972
               35598884 35988846 36318806 36448725 37218542 37368439
               37958315 38008309 37618250 37288254 36598295 36248369
               35768468 35068608