Mesoscale Discussion 0934
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0311 PM CDT Fri May 24 2024

   Areas affected...portions of eastern North Dakota into far western
   Minnesota

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 242011Z - 242145Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...A couple of landspout tornadoes may occur with the
   stronger, longer lasting cells. The severe threat should be brief
   and isolated, and a WW issuance is not currently expected.

   DISCUSSION...A surface low, located along the ND/MN border,
   continues to track northeast, immediately preceded by a band of
   convection, where at least one tornado has already been reported.
   These storms are forming within a confluence zone characterized by
   locally high amounts of low-level vertical oriented vorticity and
   over 200 J/kg of 0-3 km CAPE. This setup may promote stretching of
   vorticity by any relatively discrete, sustained updraft within the
   convective band that can form, supporting continued landspout
   tornado potential. However, the severe threat should remain isolated
   and a WW issuance is not expected.

   ..Squitieri/Guyer.. 05/24/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FGF...

   LAT...LON   46219631 46759700 47249758 47669743 47729668 47319626
               46849609 46389604 46219631