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Mesoscale Discussion 1000
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1000
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0905 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024

   Areas affected...Parts of central NC

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 321...

   Valid 270205Z - 270330Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 321
   continues.

   SUMMARY...The damaging-wind threat will continue in the short term,
   before an anticipated weakening trend late tonight.

   DISCUSSION...Some intensification of ongoing convection has recently
   been noted across central NC, with an east-southeastward moving
   storm cluster now overtaking a strong discrete cell that had
   developed ahead of the line. Some damaging-wind threat may persist
   in the short term ahead of this cluster, as it moves into a region
   where rather strong heating/mixing occurred earlier today. 

   Only modest deep-layer shear and weak low-level flow were noted on
   the 00Z GSO sounding, though some increase in low-level flow has
   recently been noted on the KRAX VWP, and stronger midlevel flow to
   the southwest may begin impinging upon the ongoing storm cluster.
   Gradually increasing downstream MLCINH should eventually result in a
   weakening trend later tonight, such as what has already occurred
   across southern VA. However, at least an isolated damaging-wind
   threat may persist to the eastern edge of WW 321.

   ..Dean.. 05/27/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...RAH...RNK...GSP...

   LAT...LON   35668033 36167947 36307905 36267833 35967798 35577804
               35187857 35117905 35187967 35297999 35428022 35668033 

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