Mesoscale Discussion 1648
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0646 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024

   Areas affected...Northeast Kansas...Northwest/North-central Missouri

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 544...

   Valid 161146Z - 161345Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 544
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A wind-damage threat will be possible over the next few
   hours from northeast Kansas eastward across much of northern
   Missouri. Weather watch issuance is being considered to the east of
   WW 544.

   DISCUSSION...The latest hi-resolution radar imagery from Kansas City
   shows a cluster of strong to severe storms across northeast Kansas
   and far northwest Missouri. The storms are located along the
   northern edge of moderate instability near a front oriented
   east-to-west. The convective cluster is being supported by a subtle
   shortwave trough moving through the central Plains, and by the exit
   region of a 30 to 50 knot low-level jet in eastern Kansas. In
   addition to the moderate instability, MLCIN is estimated by the RAP
   to be near -300 J/kg. In spite of this, the convection has produced
   severe gusts, and has generally maintained intensity over the last
   couple of hours. For this reason, the severe threat is expected to
   continue as the storms move eastward across northern Missouri this
   morning.

   ..Broyles.. 07/16/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LSX...EAX...TOP...

   LAT...LON   40079463 40149289 40109178 39839140 39519133 39189144
               39039182 39019224 38889498 38739642 38909718 39289727
               39679690 40079463