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Mesoscale Discussion 2236
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   Mesoscale Discussion 2236
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0609 PM CST Mon Nov 18 2024

   Areas affected...Southeast TX...Central LA

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 711...

   Valid 190009Z - 190145Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 711 continues.

   SUMMARY...Scattered supercells will continue spreading northeast
   across the eastern half of ww711.

   DISCUSSION...Several long-lived supercells are noted within ww711
   early this evening. One in particular is crossing Newton County TX
   into northwestern Vernon Parish. This activity appears partly aided
   by the right-entrance region of the mid-level jet, along with
   sustained low-level warm advection. While lapse rates are not that
   steep, low-mid 70s surface dew points are contributing to
   significant buoyancy. Until the LLJ lifts north of this air mass,
   organized supercell threat will likely continue. Primary risk
   continues to be damaging winds along with some tornado risk,
   especially for the next few hours.

   ..Darrow.. 11/19/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...

   LAT...LON   30789387 32019304 32019223 30969261 30419330 30789387 

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Page last modified: November 19, 2024
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