Mesoscale Discussion 0397
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0333 PM CDT Fri Apr 04 2025

   Areas affected...Northeast TX...southeast OK...western AR

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 113...114...

   Valid 042033Z - 042200Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 113, 114 continues.

   SUMMARY...Maturing supercells will pose an increasing tornado threat
   this afternoon.

   DISCUSSION...Multiple supercells have developed over the last hour
   across northeast TX, in the immediate vicinity of a slow-moving cold
   front that extends from southeast OK into central TX. The 18Z SHV
   sounding is representative of the environment across the region,
   with very rich low-level moisture, large to extreme MLCAPE,
   deep-layer shear sufficient for supercells, and a rather strong
   low-level jet. 

   A corridor of increasing short-term tornado threat is evident from
   northeast TX into far southeast OK and western AR, where locally
   backed surface winds are resulting in 0-1 km SRH of 150-250 m2/s2.
   This combination of favorable buoyancy, boundary-layer moisture, and
   relatively strong low-level shear/SRH will support an increasing
   tornado threat with any sustained supercells, including significant
   (EF2+) tornado potential. Large hail and damaging winds could also
   accompany the strongest cells.

   ..Dean.. 04/04/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...

   LAT...LON   31889648 32739620 33549548 34629455 35499358 35179295
               34369299 32779455 31879567 31889648 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-150 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN