Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 242
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
150 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northwest Alabama
Northeast Mississippi
Western and middle Tennessee
* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 150 PM until
800 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 60 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms will continue to form and spread
east-northeastward from northern Mississippi and western Tennessee
toward northwest Alabama and middle Tennessee through late
afternoon/evening. The strongest clusters and/or storms with
supercell structure will be capable of producing isolated large hail
of 1-1.5 inches in diameter and isolated damaging winds near 60 mph.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles southwest of
Muscle Shoals AL to 35 miles northwest of Nashville TN. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 50 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
24025.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 242 SEVERE TSTM AL MS TN 141850Z - 150100Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35SW MSL/MUSCLE SHOALS AL/ - 35NW BNA/NASHVILLE TN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /34WSW MSL - 30NW BNA/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..50 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24025.
LAT...LON 34398919 36488830 36488596 34398691
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 242 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 242
VALID 142235Z - 142340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NNW TUP
TO 30 WNW MSL TO 35 NW MSL TO 30 ESE MKL TO 20 SSE MKL.
..SPC..05/14/24
ATTN...WFO...HUN...MEG...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 242
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC033-059-077-079-083-089-103-142340-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLBERT FRANKLIN LAUDERDALE
LAWRENCE LIMESTONE MADISON
MORGAN
$$
MSC057-081-115-117-141-142340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ITAWAMBA LEE PONTOTOC
PRENTISS TISHOMINGO
$$
TNC003-015-021-031-037-043-051-055-061-081-083-085-099-101-103-
111-117-119-125-127-147-149-159-161-165-169-175-177-181-187-189-
142340-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD CANNON CHEATHAM
COFFEE DAVIDSON DICKSON
FRANKLIN GILES GRUNDY
HICKMAN HOUSTON HUMPHREYS
LAWRENCE LEWIS LINCOLN
MACON MARSHALL MAURY
MONTGOMERY MOORE ROBERTSON
RUTHERFORD SMITH STEWART
SUMNER TROUSDALE VAN BUREN
WARREN WAYNE WILLIAMSON
WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 242
VALID 142030Z - 142140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NE UOX TO
25 NNW TUP TO 40 NNE TUP TO 40 NW MSL TO 55 E MKL TO 50 SSW CKV
TO 40 SE PAH.
..GLEASON..05/14/24
ATTN...WFO...HUN...MEG...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 242
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC033-059-077-079-083-089-103-142140-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLBERT FRANKLIN LAUDERDALE
LAWRENCE LIMESTONE MADISON
MORGAN
$$
MSC057-071-081-115-117-141-145-142140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ITAWAMBA LAFAYETTE LEE
PONTOTOC PRENTISS TISHOMINGO
UNION
$$
TNC003-015-021-037-043-055-079-081-083-085-099-101-103-111-117-
119-125-127-147-149-159-161-165-169-181-187-189-142140-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD CANNON CHEATHAM
DAVIDSON DICKSON GILES
HENRY HICKMAN HOUSTON
HUMPHREYS LAWRENCE LEWIS
LINCOLN MACON MARSHALL
MAURY MONTGOMERY MOORE
ROBERTSON RUTHERFORD SMITH
STEWART SUMNER TROUSDALE
WAYNE WILLIAMSON WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 242
VALID 141925Z - 142040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GLEASON..05/14/24
ATTN...WFO...HUN...MEG...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 242
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC033-059-077-079-083-089-103-142040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLBERT FRANKLIN LAUDERDALE
LAWRENCE LIMESTONE MADISON
MORGAN
$$
MSC003-009-057-071-081-115-117-139-141-145-142040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN BENTON ITAWAMBA
LAFAYETTE LEE PONTOTOC
PRENTISS TIPPAH TISHOMINGO
UNION
$$
TNC003-005-015-017-021-023-037-039-043-055-069-071-077-079-081-
083-085-099-101-103-109-111-113-117-119-125-127-135-147-149-159-
161-165-169-181-187-189-142040-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD BENTON CANNON
CARROLL CHEATHAM CHESTER
DAVIDSON DECATUR DICKSON
GILES HARDEMAN HARDIN
HENDERSON HENRY HICKMAN
HOUSTON HUMPHREYS LAWRENCE
LEWIS LINCOLN MCNAIRY
MACON MADISON MARSHALL
MAURY MONTGOMERY MOORE
PERRY ROBERTSON RUTHERFORD
SMITH STEWART SUMNER
TROUSDALE WAYNE WILLIAMSON
WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.