Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 440
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
455 PM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northern Nebraska
Extreme southern South Dakota
* Effective this Thursday afternoon from 455 PM until Midnight
CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3.5
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...An isolated supercell should persist along a warm front
over the northern Sandhills, offering all severe hazards, including
a localized tornado threat. In the broader picture, a clustering of
severe thunderstorms in the Nebraska Panhandle should move into and
across the watch later this evening, posing mainly a hail and
severe-wind threat. Isolate severe hail also is possible with later
development north of the front.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles west of Mullen
NE to 15 miles east northeast of Oneill NE. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 438...WW 439...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
26025.
...Edwards
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 440
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
455 PM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northern Nebraska
Extreme southern South Dakota
* Effective this Thursday afternoon from 455 PM until Midnight
CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3.5
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...An isolated supercell should persist along a warm front
over the northern Sandhills, offering all severe hazards, including
a localized tornado threat. In the broader picture, a clustering of
severe thunderstorms in the Nebraska Panhandle should move into and
across the watch later this evening, posing mainly a hail and
severe-wind threat. Isolate severe hail also is possible with later
development north of the front.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles west of Mullen
NE to 15 miles east northeast of Oneill NE. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 438...WW 439...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
26025.
...Edwards
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 440 SEVERE TSTM NE SD 202155Z - 210500Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
50W MHN/MULLEN NE/ - 15ENE ONL/ONEILL NE/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /65E BFF - 13ENE ONL/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26025.
LAT...LON 42840204 43359841 41769841 41250204
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 440 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 440
VALID 210440Z - 210500Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 S BUB TO
45 SE 9V9.
REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW 440 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT
21/05Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1351.
..KERR..06/21/24
ATTN...WFO...LBF...UNR...FSD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 440
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC015-071-089-183-210500-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOYD GARFIELD HOLT
WHEELER
$$
SDC023-043-210500-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHARLES MIX DOUGLAS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 440
VALID 210325Z - 210440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NW BBW TO
30 ESE ANW TO 40 SSW 9V9.
..KERR..06/21/24
ATTN...WFO...LBF...UNR...FSD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 440
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC015-071-089-103-115-149-183-210440-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOYD GARFIELD HOLT
KEYA PAHA LOUP ROCK
WHEELER
$$
SDC023-043-053-210440-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHARLES MIX DOUGLAS GREGORY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 440
VALID 210230Z - 210340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SE AIA TO
10 SW MHN TO 35 SW ANW TO 45 NNE VTN.
..WENDT..06/21/24
ATTN...WFO...LBF...UNR...FSD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 440
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC005-009-015-017-071-089-091-103-113-115-117-149-171-183-
210340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BLAINE BOYD
BROWN GARFIELD HOLT
HOOKER KEYA PAHA LOGAN
LOUP MCPHERSON ROCK
THOMAS WHEELER
$$
SDC023-043-053-123-210340-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHARLES MIX DOUGLAS GREGORY
TRIPP
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 440
VALID 210040Z - 210140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 E AIA TO
45 WNW MHN TO 60 NW MHN TO 40 WNW VTN TO 45 SSE PHP.
..WENDT..06/21/24
ATTN...WFO...LBF...UNR...FSD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 440
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC005-009-015-017-031-071-075-089-091-103-113-115-117-149-171-
183-210140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BLAINE BOYD
BROWN CHERRY GARFIELD
GRANT HOLT HOOKER
KEYA PAHA LOGAN LOUP
MCPHERSON ROCK THOMAS
WHEELER
$$
SDC023-043-053-121-123-210140-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHARLES MIX DOUGLAS GREGORY
TODD TRIPP
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 440
VALID 202345Z - 210040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1349
..WENDT..06/20/24
ATTN...WFO...LBF...UNR...FSD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 440
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC005-009-015-017-031-071-075-089-091-103-113-115-117-149-171-
183-210040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BLAINE BOYD
BROWN CHERRY GARFIELD
GRANT HOLT HOOKER
KEYA PAHA LOGAN LOUP
MCPHERSON ROCK THOMAS
WHEELER
$$
SDC007-023-043-053-121-123-210040-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENNETT CHARLES MIX DOUGLAS
GREGORY TODD TRIPP
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.