Mesoscale Discussion 1640
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0654 PM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024

   Areas affected...Central New York and Northeast Pennsylvania

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 540...

   Valid 152354Z - 160130Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 540
   continues.

   SUMMARY...The environment remains conducive for severe thunderstorms
   across central New York and northeast Pennsylvania to persist for
   another couple of hours. Wind will be the most common threat.

   DISCUSSION...Two quasi-linear bowing segments are ongoing across the
   severe thunderstorm watch: one in northeast Pennsylvania and another
   in central New York. Both of these bowing segments are moving
   east-northeast within an unstable airmass (CAPE around 1000 J/kg)
   and have a history of producing wind damage. Despite deep-layer
   shear decreasing with eastward extent, the organized nature of the
   convection will allow a wind damage threat to persist for another
   couple of hours.

   ..Marsh.. 07/15/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...BTV...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...BUF...CTP...

   LAT...LON   42677597 43477608 44007538 43917433 43177334 41837324
               41327384 41087512 41137614 41557637 42137641 42677597