Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 244
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1050 AM EDT Wed May 15 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northern/central Florida Peninsula
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Wednesday morning and afternoon from 1050 AM
until 500 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will spread eastward across parts of the
northern/central FL Peninsula through this afternoon, while posing a
threat for mainly large hail and damaging winds.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles east of
Gainesville FL to 30 miles south of Avon Park FL. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...This severe thunderstorm watch replaces
tornado watch number 243. Watch number 243 will not be in effect
after 1050 AM EDT.
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
26035.
...Gleason
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 244
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1050 AM EDT Wed May 15 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northern/central Florida Peninsula
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Wednesday morning and afternoon from 1050 AM
until 500 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will spread eastward across parts of the
northern/central FL Peninsula through this afternoon, while posing a
threat for mainly large hail and damaging winds.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles east of
Gainesville FL to 30 miles south of Avon Park FL. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...This severe thunderstorm watch replaces
tornado watch number 243. Watch number 243 will not be in effect
after 1050 AM EDT.
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
26035.
...Gleason
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 244 SEVERE TSTM FL CW 151450Z - 152100Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
15E GNV/GAINESVILLE FL/ - 30S AGR/AVON PARK FL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /48SW CRG - 48NNE RSW/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.
REPLACES WW 243..FL CW
LAT...LON 29688101 27218035 27218231 29688302
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 244 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 244
VALID 151940Z - 152040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE VRB
TO 20 N DAB TO 30 NE DAB.
..GLEASON..05/15/24
ATTN...WFO...JAX...MLB...TBW...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 244
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
AMZ550-552-555-152040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 244
VALID 151845Z - 151940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GLEASON..05/15/24
ATTN...WFO...JAX...MLB...TBW...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 244
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC001-009-017-027-035-041-049-053-055-057-061-069-075-081-083-
093-095-097-101-103-105-107-111-115-117-119-127-151940-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALACHUA BREVARD CITRUS
DESOTO FLAGLER GILCHRIST
HARDEE HERNANDO HIGHLANDS
HILLSBOROUGH INDIAN RIVER LAKE
LEVY MANATEE MARION
OKEECHOBEE ORANGE OSCEOLA
PASCO PINELLAS POLK
PUTNAM ST. LUCIE SARASOTA
SEMINOLE SUMTER VOLUSIA
$$
AMZ454-550-552-555-GMZ830-850-853-151940-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 0-20 NM
TAMPA BAY WATERS
COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 244
VALID 151740Z - 151840Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 792
..GLEASON..05/15/24
ATTN...WFO...JAX...MLB...TBW...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 244
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC001-009-017-027-035-041-049-053-055-057-061-069-075-081-083-
093-095-097-101-103-105-107-111-115-117-119-127-151840-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALACHUA BREVARD CITRUS
DESOTO FLAGLER GILCHRIST
HARDEE HERNANDO HIGHLANDS
HILLSBOROUGH INDIAN RIVER LAKE
LEVY MANATEE MARION
OKEECHOBEE ORANGE OSCEOLA
PASCO PINELLAS POLK
PUTNAM ST. LUCIE SARASOTA
SEMINOLE SUMTER VOLUSIA
$$
AMZ454-550-552-555-GMZ830-850-853-151840-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 0-20 NM
TAMPA BAY WATERS
COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 244
VALID 151645Z - 151740Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GLEASON..05/15/24
ATTN...WFO...JAX...MLB...TBW...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 244
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC001-009-017-027-035-041-049-053-055-057-061-069-075-081-083-
093-095-097-101-103-105-107-111-115-117-119-127-151740-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALACHUA BREVARD CITRUS
DESOTO FLAGLER GILCHRIST
HARDEE HERNANDO HIGHLANDS
HILLSBOROUGH INDIAN RIVER LAKE
LEVY MANATEE MARION
OKEECHOBEE ORANGE OSCEOLA
PASCO PINELLAS POLK
PUTNAM ST. LUCIE SARASOTA
SEMINOLE SUMTER VOLUSIA
$$
AMZ454-550-552-555-GMZ830-850-853-151740-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 0-20 NM
TAMPA BAY WATERS
COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 244
VALID 151530Z - 151640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GLEASON..05/15/24
ATTN...WFO...JAX...MLB...TBW...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 244
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC001-009-017-027-035-041-049-053-055-057-061-069-075-081-083-
093-095-097-101-103-105-107-111-115-117-119-127-151640-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALACHUA BREVARD CITRUS
DESOTO FLAGLER GILCHRIST
HARDEE HERNANDO HIGHLANDS
HILLSBOROUGH INDIAN RIVER LAKE
LEVY MANATEE MARION
OKEECHOBEE ORANGE OSCEOLA
PASCO PINELLAS POLK
PUTNAM ST. LUCIE SARASOTA
SEMINOLE SUMTER VOLUSIA
$$
AMZ454-550-552-555-GMZ830-850-853-151640-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 0-20 NM
TAMPA BAY WATERS
COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.