Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 245
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
110 PM EDT Wed May 15 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southern North Carolina
Northern South Carolina
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 110 PM
until 800 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorm development is expected this
afternoon along and south of a stalled front across southern North
Carolina, and storms will persist into this evening while moving
eastward to the coast. The storm environment will support both
supercells with large hail of 1-1.5 inches in diameter and
clusters/bowing segments with 60-70 mph outflow winds.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles north and south of a line from 25 miles north
northwest of Columbia SC to 55 miles east southeast of Wilmington
NC. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 244...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27030.
...Thompson
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 245
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
110 PM EDT Wed May 15 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southern North Carolina
Northern South Carolina
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 110 PM
until 800 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorm development is expected this
afternoon along and south of a stalled front across southern North
Carolina, and storms will persist into this evening while moving
eastward to the coast. The storm environment will support both
supercells with large hail of 1-1.5 inches in diameter and
clusters/bowing segments with 60-70 mph outflow winds.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles north and south of a line from 25 miles north
northwest of Columbia SC to 55 miles east southeast of Wilmington
NC. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 244...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27030.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 245 SEVERE TSTM NC SC CW 151710Z - 160000Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
25NNW CAE/COLUMBIA SC/ - 55ESE ILM/WILMINGTON NC/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM N/S /27NNW CAE - 49ESE ILM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.
LAT...LON 35208129 34907701 33027701 33328129
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 245 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 245
VALID 160000Z - 160140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NW CHS TO
5 W FLO TO 30 WNW OAJ.
..SPC..05/15/24
ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...GSP...MHX...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 245
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC017-019-031-047-061-129-133-141-155-163-160140-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLADEN BRUNSWICK CARTERET
COLUMBUS DUPLIN NEW HANOVER
ONSLOW PENDER ROBESON
SAMPSON
$$
SCC027-033-041-043-051-067-089-160140-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARENDON DILLON FLORENCE
GEORGETOWN HORRY MARION
WILLIAMSBURG
$$
AMZ137-158-250-252-254-256-160140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
NEUSE AND BAY RIVERS
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT NC TO SURF CITY NC OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 245
VALID 152155Z - 152240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ESE SPA
TO 45 W SOP.
..SPC..05/15/24
ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...GSP...MHX...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 245
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC007-017-019-031-047-049-051-061-085-093-103-105-107-123-125-
129-133-137-141-153-155-163-165-152240-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANSON BLADEN BRUNSWICK
CARTERET COLUMBUS CRAVEN
CUMBERLAND DUPLIN HARNETT
HOKE JONES LEE
LENOIR MONTGOMERY MOORE
NEW HANOVER ONSLOW PAMLICO
PENDER RICHMOND ROBESON
SAMPSON SCOTLAND
$$
SCC017-025-027-031-033-039-041-043-051-055-057-061-063-067-069-
071-075-079-085-089-152240-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN CHESTERFIELD CLARENDON
DARLINGTON DILLON FAIRFIELD
FLORENCE GEORGETOWN HORRY
KERSHAW LANCASTER LEE
LEXINGTON MARION MARLBORO
NEWBERRY ORANGEBURG RICHLAND
SUMTER WILLIAMSBURG
$$
AMZ137-158-250-252-254-256-152240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
NEUSE AND BAY RIVERS
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT NC TO SURF CITY NC OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 245
VALID 152045Z - 152140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 793
..GLEASON..05/15/24
ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...GSP...MHX...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 245
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC007-017-019-025-031-047-049-051-061-071-085-093-103-105-107-
119-123-125-129-133-137-141-153-155-163-165-167-179-152140-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANSON BLADEN BRUNSWICK
CABARRUS CARTERET COLUMBUS
CRAVEN CUMBERLAND DUPLIN
GASTON HARNETT HOKE
JONES LEE LENOIR
MECKLENBURG MONTGOMERY MOORE
NEW HANOVER ONSLOW PAMLICO
PENDER RICHMOND ROBESON
SAMPSON SCOTLAND STANLY
UNION
$$
SCC017-021-023-025-027-031-033-039-041-043-051-055-057-059-061-
063-067-069-071-075-079-083-085-087-089-091-152140-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN CHEROKEE CHESTER
CHESTERFIELD CLARENDON DARLINGTON
DILLON FAIRFIELD FLORENCE
GEORGETOWN HORRY KERSHAW
LANCASTER LAURENS LEE
LEXINGTON MARION MARLBORO
NEWBERRY ORANGEBURG RICHLAND
SPARTANBURG SUMTER UNION
WILLIAMSBURG YORK
$$
AMZ137-158-250-252-254-256-152140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
NEUSE AND BAY RIVERS
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT NC TO SURF CITY NC OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 245
VALID 151950Z - 152040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 793
..GLEASON..05/15/24
ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...GSP...MHX...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 245
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC007-017-019-025-031-047-049-051-061-071-085-093-103-105-107-
119-123-125-129-133-137-141-153-155-163-165-167-179-152040-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANSON BLADEN BRUNSWICK
CABARRUS CARTERET COLUMBUS
CRAVEN CUMBERLAND DUPLIN
GASTON HARNETT HOKE
JONES LEE LENOIR
MECKLENBURG MONTGOMERY MOORE
NEW HANOVER ONSLOW PAMLICO
PENDER RICHMOND ROBESON
SAMPSON SCOTLAND STANLY
UNION
$$
SCC017-021-023-025-027-031-033-039-041-043-051-055-057-059-061-
063-067-069-071-075-079-083-085-087-089-091-152040-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN CHEROKEE CHESTER
CHESTERFIELD CLARENDON DARLINGTON
DILLON FAIRFIELD FLORENCE
GEORGETOWN HORRY KERSHAW
LANCASTER LAURENS LEE
LEXINGTON MARION MARLBORO
NEWBERRY ORANGEBURG RICHLAND
SPARTANBURG SUMTER UNION
WILLIAMSBURG YORK
$$
AMZ137-158-250-252-254-256-152040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
NEUSE AND BAY RIVERS
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT NC TO SURF CITY NC OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 245
VALID 151845Z - 151940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GLEASON..05/15/24
ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...GSP...MHX...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 245
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC007-017-019-025-031-047-049-051-061-071-085-093-103-105-107-
119-123-125-129-133-137-141-153-155-163-165-167-179-151940-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANSON BLADEN BRUNSWICK
CABARRUS CARTERET COLUMBUS
CRAVEN CUMBERLAND DUPLIN
GASTON HARNETT HOKE
JONES LEE LENOIR
MECKLENBURG MONTGOMERY MOORE
NEW HANOVER ONSLOW PAMLICO
PENDER RICHMOND ROBESON
SAMPSON SCOTLAND STANLY
UNION
$$
SCC017-021-023-025-027-031-033-039-041-043-051-055-057-059-061-
063-067-069-071-075-079-083-085-087-089-091-151940-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN CHEROKEE CHESTER
CHESTERFIELD CLARENDON DARLINGTON
DILLON FAIRFIELD FLORENCE
GEORGETOWN HORRY KERSHAW
LANCASTER LAURENS LEE
LEXINGTON MARION MARLBORO
NEWBERRY ORANGEBURG RICHLAND
SPARTANBURG SUMTER UNION
WILLIAMSBURG YORK
$$
AMZ137-158-250-252-254-256-151940-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
NEUSE AND BAY RIVERS
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT NC TO SURF CITY NC OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.