Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 259
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1255 PM MDT Sun May 19 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northeast Colorado
Western Nebraska
Western and Central South Dakota
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 1255 PM until
800 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are forming over parts of western South
Dakota and Nebraska. These storms will spread eastward through the
afternoon and early evening, posing a risk of locally damaging winds
gusts and hail.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles east and west of a line from 20 miles northwest of
Mobridge SD to 40 miles southeast of Sidney NE. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 258...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
25030.
...Hart
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 259
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1255 PM MDT Sun May 19 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northeast Colorado
Western Nebraska
Western and Central South Dakota
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 1255 PM until
800 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are forming over parts of western South
Dakota and Nebraska. These storms will spread eastward through the
afternoon and early evening, posing a risk of locally damaging winds
gusts and hail.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles east and west of a line from 20 miles northwest of
Mobridge SD to 40 miles southeast of Sidney NE. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 258...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
25030.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 259 SEVERE TSTM CO NE SD 191855Z - 200200Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
20NW MBG/MOBRIDGE SD/ - 40SE SNY/SIDNEY NE/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /58NE DPR - 35SE SNY/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.
LAT...LON 45739938 40680120 40680368 45730207
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 259 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 259
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 S 9V9 TO
45 W 9V9 TO 45 WSW MBG TO 45 NNE Y22.
..MOORE..05/20/24
ATTN...WFO...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 259
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
SDC021-031-041-065-085-107-119-129-200240-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAMPBELL CORSON DEWEY
HUGHES LYMAN POTTER
SULLY WALWORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 259
VALID 192350Z - 200040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WNW ITR
TO 30 ENE AKO TO 20 WNW IML TO 25 SSE LBF TO 35 SSW ANW TO 35 W
VTN TO 40 ENE CDR TO 35 SE RAP TO 10 NNE Y22.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 841
..MOORE..05/19/24
ATTN...WFO...BOU...LBF...CYS...UNR...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 259
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC029-063-085-200040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHASE FRONTIER HAYES
$$
SDC007-021-031-041-055-065-071-075-085-095-107-117-119-121-123-
129-137-200040-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENNETT CAMPBELL CORSON
DEWEY HAAKON HUGHES
JACKSON JONES LYMAN
MELLETTE POTTER STANLEY
SULLY TODD TRIPP
WALWORTH ZIEBACH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 259
VALID 192305Z - 200040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NW AKO TO
10 E SNY TO 45 SE 2WX.
..MOORE..05/19/24
ATTN...WFO...BOU...LBF...CYS...UNR...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 259
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC075-095-115-121-200040-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LOGAN PHILLIPS SEDGWICK
WASHINGTON
$$
NEC005-029-031-049-063-069-075-085-091-101-111-113-117-135-161-
171-200040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR CHASE CHERRY
DEUEL FRONTIER GARDEN
GRANT HAYES HOOKER
KEITH LINCOLN LOGAN
MCPHERSON PERKINS SHERIDAN
THOMAS
$$
SDC007-021-031-041-055-065-071-075-085-093-095-102-103-107-117-
119-121-123-129-137-200040-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENNETT CAMPBELL CORSON
DEWEY HAAKON HUGHES
JACKSON JONES LYMAN
MEADE MELLETTE OGLALA LAKOTA
PENNINGTON POTTER STANLEY
SULLY TODD TRIPP
WALWORTH ZIEBACH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 259
VALID 192200Z - 192340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MOORE..05/19/24
ATTN...WFO...BOU...LBF...CYS...UNR...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 259
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC075-095-115-121-192340-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LOGAN PHILLIPS SEDGWICK
WASHINGTON
$$
NEC005-007-013-029-031-033-045-049-063-069-075-085-091-101-105-
111-113-117-123-135-157-161-165-171-192340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BANNER BOX BUTTE
CHASE CHERRY CHEYENNE
DAWES DEUEL FRONTIER
GARDEN GRANT HAYES
HOOKER KEITH KIMBALL
LINCOLN LOGAN MCPHERSON
MORRILL PERKINS SCOTTS BLUFF
SHERIDAN SIOUX THOMAS
$$
SDC007-021-031-033-041-047-055-065-071-075-085-093-095-102-103-
107-117-119-121-123-129-137-192340-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENNETT CAMPBELL CORSON
CUSTER DEWEY FALL RIVER
HAAKON HUGHES JACKSON
JONES LYMAN MEADE
MELLETTE OGLALA LAKOTA PENNINGTON
POTTER STANLEY SULLY
TODD TRIPP WALWORTH
ZIEBACH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 259
VALID 192050Z - 192140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MOORE..05/19/24
ATTN...WFO...BOU...LBF...CYS...UNR...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 259
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC075-095-115-121-192140-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LOGAN PHILLIPS SEDGWICK
WASHINGTON
$$
NEC005-007-013-029-031-033-045-049-063-069-075-085-091-101-105-
111-113-117-123-135-157-161-165-171-192140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BANNER BOX BUTTE
CHASE CHERRY CHEYENNE
DAWES DEUEL FRONTIER
GARDEN GRANT HAYES
HOOKER KEITH KIMBALL
LINCOLN LOGAN MCPHERSON
MORRILL PERKINS SCOTTS BLUFF
SHERIDAN SIOUX THOMAS
$$
SDC007-021-031-033-041-047-055-065-071-075-085-093-095-102-103-
107-117-119-121-123-129-137-192140-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENNETT CAMPBELL CORSON
CUSTER DEWEY FALL RIVER
HAAKON HUGHES JACKSON
JONES LYMAN MEADE
MELLETTE OGLALA LAKOTA PENNINGTON
POTTER STANLEY SULLY
TODD TRIPP WALWORTH
ZIEBACH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 259
VALID 191945Z - 192040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MOORE..05/19/24
ATTN...WFO...BOU...LBF...CYS...UNR...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 259
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC075-095-115-121-192040-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LOGAN PHILLIPS SEDGWICK
WASHINGTON
$$
NEC005-007-013-029-031-033-045-049-063-069-075-085-091-101-105-
111-113-117-123-135-157-161-165-171-192040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BANNER BOX BUTTE
CHASE CHERRY CHEYENNE
DAWES DEUEL FRONTIER
GARDEN GRANT HAYES
HOOKER KEITH KIMBALL
LINCOLN LOGAN MCPHERSON
MORRILL PERKINS SCOTTS BLUFF
SHERIDAN SIOUX THOMAS
$$
SDC007-021-031-033-041-047-055-065-071-075-085-093-095-102-103-
107-117-119-121-123-129-137-192040-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENNETT CAMPBELL CORSON
CUSTER DEWEY FALL RIVER
HAAKON HUGHES JACKSON
JONES LYMAN MEADE
MELLETTE OGLALA LAKOTA PENNINGTON
POTTER STANLEY SULLY
TODD TRIPP WALWORTH
ZIEBACH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.