Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 451
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
105 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Eastern North Carolina
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 105 PM until
800 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms are expected this afternoon across
eastern North Carolina, in a hot and humid environment.
Sufficiently strong winds aloft will result in a risk of locally
damaging wind gusts and some hail in the most intense cells.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles northeast of
Elizabeth City NC to 30 miles south southeast of Wilmington NC. For
a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27025.
...Hart
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 451
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
105 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Eastern North Carolina
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 105 PM until
800 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms are expected this afternoon across
eastern North Carolina, in a hot and humid environment.
Sufficiently strong winds aloft will result in a risk of locally
damaging wind gusts and some hail in the most intense cells.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles northeast of
Elizabeth City NC to 30 miles south southeast of Wilmington NC. For
a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27025.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 451 SEVERE TSTM NC CW 241705Z - 250000Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
30NE ECG/ELIZABETH CITY NC/ - 30SSE ILM/WILMINGTON NC/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /27NE ECG - 30SSE ILM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27025.
LAT...LON 36577472 33867665 33867875 36577687
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 451 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 451
VALID 242330Z - 250000Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NW ILM TO
45 SE EWN TO HSE.
REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW 451 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT
25/00Z.
..KERR..06/24/24
ATTN...WFO...MHX...AKQ...ILM...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 451
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC019-129-141-250000-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRUNSWICK NEW HANOVER PENDER
$$
AMZ154-156-158-231-250-252-250000-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
S OF CAPE HATTERAS NC TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF OCRACOKE INLET NC TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT NC TO SURF CITY NC OUT TO 20 NM
CROATAN AND ROANOKE SOUNDS
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 451
VALID 242330Z - 250040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NW ILM TO
45 SE EWN TO HSE.
..KERR..06/24/24
ATTN...WFO...MHX...AKQ...ILM...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 451
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC019-129-141-250040-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRUNSWICK NEW HANOVER PENDER
$$
AMZ154-156-158-231-250-252-250040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
S OF CAPE HATTERAS NC TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF OCRACOKE INLET NC TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT NC TO SURF CITY NC OUT TO 20 NM
CROATAN AND ROANOKE SOUNDS
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 451
VALID 242055Z - 242140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 S GSB TO
35 NNW EWN TO 40 SSW ECG TO 25 SSE ECG TO 75 E ECG.
..BENTLEY..06/24/24
ATTN...WFO...MHX...AKQ...ILM...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 451
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC013-019-031-049-055-061-095-103-107-129-133-137-141-177-
242140-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT BRUNSWICK CARTERET
CRAVEN DARE DUPLIN
HYDE JONES LENOIR
NEW HANOVER ONSLOW PAMLICO
PENDER TYRRELL
$$
AMZ131-135-136-137-150-152-154-156-158-231-250-252-242140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALLIGATOR RIVER
PAMLICO SOUND
PAMLICO AND PUNGO RIVERS
NEUSE AND BAY RIVERS
S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC TO OREGON INLET NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF OREGON INLET NC TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF CAPE HATTERAS NC TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF OCRACOKE INLET NC TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT NC TO SURF CITY NC OUT TO 20 NM
CROATAN AND ROANOKE SOUNDS
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 451
VALID 241915Z - 242040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 WNW GSB
TO 30 E RWI TO 20 SW ECG TO 80 E ORF.
..BENTLEY..06/24/24
ATTN...WFO...MHX...AKQ...ILM...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 451
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC013-019-031-049-055-061-079-095-103-107-117-129-133-137-141-
147-177-187-242040-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT BRUNSWICK CARTERET
CRAVEN DARE DUPLIN
GREENE HYDE JONES
LENOIR MARTIN NEW HANOVER
ONSLOW PAMLICO PENDER
PITT TYRRELL WASHINGTON
$$
AMZ131-135-136-137-150-152-154-156-158-230-231-250-252-242040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALLIGATOR RIVER
PAMLICO SOUND
PAMLICO AND PUNGO RIVERS
NEUSE AND BAY RIVERS
S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC TO OREGON INLET NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF OREGON INLET NC TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF CAPE HATTERAS NC TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF OCRACOKE INLET NC TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT NC TO SURF CITY NC OUT TO 20 NM
ALBEMARLE SOUND
CROATAN AND ROANOKE SOUNDS
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 451
VALID 241840Z - 241940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ESE RWI
TO 30 W ECG TO 60 E ORF.
..BENTLEY..06/24/24
ATTN...WFO...MHX...AKQ...ILM...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 451
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC013-015-019-029-031-041-049-053-055-061-073-079-095-103-107-
117-129-133-137-139-141-143-147-177-187-241940-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT BERTIE BRUNSWICK
CAMDEN CARTERET CHOWAN
CRAVEN CURRITUCK DARE
DUPLIN GATES GREENE
HYDE JONES LENOIR
MARTIN NEW HANOVER ONSLOW
PAMLICO PASQUOTANK PENDER
PERQUIMANS PITT TYRRELL
WASHINGTON
$$
AMZ131-135-136-137-150-152-154-156-158-230-231-250-252-ANZ633-658-
241940-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALLIGATOR RIVER
PAMLICO SOUND
PAMLICO AND PUNGO RIVERS
NEUSE AND BAY RIVERS
S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC TO OREGON INLET NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF OREGON INLET NC TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF CAPE HATTERAS NC TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF OCRACOKE INLET NC TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT NC TO SURF CITY NC OUT TO 20 NM
ALBEMARLE SOUND
CROATAN AND ROANOKE SOUNDS
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
CURRITUCK SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.