Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 452
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
550 PM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northwest and North-Central Minnesota
Eastern North Dakota
* Effective this Monday afternoon from 550 PM until Midnight CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 3 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Developing supercells along/ahead of a cold front should
initially pose a threat for isolated very large hail up to 2-3
inches in diameter. With time this evening, severe/damaging winds
around 60-70 mph may become more of a concern as thunderstorms
potentially develop into one or more small clusters as they spread
eastward.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles south of Fargo
ND to 45 miles west northwest of International Falls MN. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 451...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
27035.
...Gleason
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 452
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
550 PM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northwest and North-Central Minnesota
Eastern North Dakota
* Effective this Monday afternoon from 550 PM until Midnight CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 3 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Developing supercells along/ahead of a cold front should
initially pose a threat for isolated very large hail up to 2-3
inches in diameter. With time this evening, severe/damaging winds
around 60-70 mph may become more of a concern as thunderstorms
potentially develop into one or more small clusters as they spread
eastward.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles south of Fargo
ND to 45 miles west northwest of International Falls MN. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 451...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
27035.
...Gleason
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 452 SEVERE TSTM MN ND 242250Z - 250500Z
AXIS..90 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40S FAR/FARGO ND/ - 45WNW INL/INTERNATIONAL FALLS MN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM E/W /25S FAR - 39WNW INL/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.
LAT...LON 46339871 48809629 48809234 46339493
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 452 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 452
VALID 250445Z - 250500Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 N AXN TO
35 NNW BRD.
REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW 452 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT
25/05Z.
..KERR..06/25/24
ATTN...WFO...FGF...DLH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 452
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC021-061-137-159-250500-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CASS ITASCA ST. LOUIS
WADENA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 452
VALID 250330Z - 250440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SW FAR TO
5 SSW FAR TO 10 E BJI TO 40 WNW HIB.
..KERR..06/25/24
ATTN...WFO...FGF...DLH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 452
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC005-021-057-061-111-137-159-167-250440-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKER CASS HUBBARD
ITASCA OTTER TAIL ST. LOUIS
WADENA WILKIN
$$
NDC077-081-250440-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
RICHLAND SARGENT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 452
VALID 250220Z - 250340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 N ABR TO
30 WNW FAR TO 45 S TVF TO 35 SE TVF TO 35 NE BJI TO 55 E INL.
..WENDT..06/25/24
ATTN...WFO...FGF...DLH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 452
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC005-007-021-027-029-057-061-071-087-107-111-159-167-250340-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKER BELTRAMI CASS
CLAY CLEARWATER HUBBARD
ITASCA KOOCHICHING MAHNOMEN
NORMAN OTTER TAIL WADENA
WILKIN
$$
NDC017-073-077-081-250340-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CASS RANSOM RICHLAND
SARGENT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 452
VALID 250100Z - 250240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 S JMS TO
40 E JMS TO 30 S GFK TO 20 ENE TVF TO 55 SE RRT TO 40 NW INL.
..WENDT..06/25/24
ATTN...WFO...FGF...DLH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 452
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC005-007-021-027-029-057-061-071-087-107-111-113-119-125-159-
167-250240-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKER BELTRAMI CASS
CLAY CLEARWATER HUBBARD
ITASCA KOOCHICHING MAHNOMEN
NORMAN OTTER TAIL PENNINGTON
POLK RED LAKE WADENA
WILKIN
$$
NDC017-073-077-081-097-250240-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CASS RANSOM RICHLAND
SARGENT TRAILL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 452
VALID 250010Z - 250140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NE JMS TO
15 S GFK TO 5 WNW TVF TO 35 ENE RRT.
..WENDT..06/25/24
ATTN...WFO...FGF...DLH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 452
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC005-007-021-027-029-057-061-071-077-087-089-107-111-113-119-
125-159-167-250140-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKER BELTRAMI CASS
CLAY CLEARWATER HUBBARD
ITASCA KOOCHICHING LAKE OF THE WOODS
MAHNOMEN MARSHALL NORMAN
OTTER TAIL PENNINGTON POLK
RED LAKE WADENA WILKIN
$$
NDC003-017-073-077-081-091-097-250140-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARNES CASS RANSOM
RICHLAND SARGENT STEELE
TRAILL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
@NWSSPC
