Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 453
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
730 PM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northern Illinois
Southern Wisconsin
Lake Michigan
* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 730 PM
until 100 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A small bowing cluster should continue to pose some threat
for scattered severe/damaging winds generally 60-70 mph as it moves
quickly southeastward this evening. Isolated gusts up to 75 mph and
hail around 1-1.75 inches in diameter may also occur.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles north of Madison
WI to 50 miles southeast of Rockford IL. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 452...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
29040.
...Gleason
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 453 SEVERE TSTM IL WI LM 250030Z - 250600Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
30N MSN/MADISON WI/ - 50SE RFD/ROCKFORD IL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM E/W /19E DLL - 9NNW JOT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29040.
LAT...LON 43568833 41688745 41688938 43569033
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 453 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 453
VALID 250325Z - 250440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 W JVL TO
20 S RAC.
REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW MAY BE CANCELLED EARLY.
..KERR..06/25/24
ATTN...WFO...LOT...DVN...MKX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 453
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC007-031-037-043-089-097-111-141-201-250440-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE COOK DE KALB
DUPAGE KANE LAKE
MCHENRY OGLE WINNEBAGO
$$
LMZ740-741-742-250440-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
WINTHROP HARBOR TO WILMETTE HARBOR IL
WILMETTE HARBOR TO NORTHERLY ISLAND IL
NORTHERLY ISLAND TO CALUMET HARBOR IL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 453
VALID 250225Z - 250340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSE LNR
TO 15 NE JVL TO 20 S RAC.
..KERR..06/25/24
ATTN...WFO...LOT...DVN...MKX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 453
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC007-031-037-043-089-097-111-141-177-201-250340-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE COOK DE KALB
DUPAGE KANE LAKE
MCHENRY OGLE STEPHENSON
WINNEBAGO
$$
WIC045-059-105-127-250340-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GREEN KENOSHA ROCK
WALWORTH
$$
LMZ740-741-742-250340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
WINTHROP HARBOR TO WILMETTE HARBOR IL
WILMETTE HARBOR TO NORTHERLY ISLAND IL
NORTHERLY ISLAND TO CALUMET HARBOR IL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 453
VALID 250200Z - 250340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSE LNR
TO 15 ESE MSN TO 35 NE JVL TO 5 W RAC.
..KERR..06/25/24
ATTN...WFO...LOT...DVN...MKX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 453
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC007-031-037-043-089-097-111-141-177-201-250340-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE COOK DE KALB
DUPAGE KANE LAKE
MCHENRY OGLE STEPHENSON
WINNEBAGO
$$
WIC025-045-049-055-059-065-101-105-127-250340-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DANE GREEN IOWA
JEFFERSON KENOSHA LAFAYETTE
RACINE ROCK WALWORTH
$$
LMZ740-741-742-250340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
WINTHROP HARBOR TO WILMETTE HARBOR IL
WILMETTE HARBOR TO NORTHERLY ISLAND IL
NORTHERLY ISLAND TO CALUMET HARBOR IL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.